The Close Encounter: The Kamala Effect

The current U.S. presidential campaign will be remembered as one of the most complex in the history of American democracy. Following the failed assassination attempt on Donald Trump, his high popularity in the polls, and Joe Biden's withdrawal from the presidential race (after pressure from the Democrats and a visible decline in his health), Kamala Harris took over the leadership of the Democratic Party. With record-breaking fundraising, acceptance by Democratic leaders, and appeal to younger voters, Kamala has experienced a significant surge in recent weeks, marking a substantial shift in the electoral landscape leading up to November 5.

One of the key factors in this resurgence has been the selection of Tim Walz, the governor of Minnesota, as her running mate. Walz brings solid experience and credibility, especially on issues related to state management and public health, which has strengthened Harris's image as a leader capable of uniting the country during times of great polarization. Although it is still early to fully gauge Walz's impact on the campaign, early polls suggest that his presence could help consolidate support in key Midwestern and Rust Belt states, regions where Trump has shown strength.

In terms of polls, Kamala Harris has shown an upward trend. According to the latest data from Morning Consult, Harris leads Trump by a margin of 3 points nationally. This lead is notable, as it has been consistent since she took over the candidacy, reflecting a shift in public perception toward her. Additionally, Kamala, “the cheerful one” (as Trump mockingly called her), has managed to regain some support among young voters, women, Latinx communities, people of color, and the more liberal wing of the U.S. ideological spectrum, areas where Biden had shown significant weaknesses.

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As the campaign winds down, Kamala Harris and her team must continue focusing on issues that resonate with their base, such as reproductive rights and social justice, while also aiming to attract undecided voters concerned about economic and security issues. The choice of Tim Walz is a key asset in this effort, helping to connect with moderate voters seeking stability and competence in leadership. The Harris-Walz pairing is much more balanced and appealing to voters than the one formed by the Republicans.

However, the race remains highly competitive, with Trump showing strength in several key states such as Georgia and North Carolina, where he still holds a slight lead. Kamala Harris's success in November will largely depend on her ability to mobilize these demographic groups and maintain momentum in the swing states.

Thus, with the coming months being crucial, Harris's ability to maintain this momentum will be decisive. The race is still open, and any mistake or success could tip the balance one way or the other. What is clear is that Harris has exceeded initial expectations, positioning herself as a serious and potentially historic contender in the race for the White House.

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